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Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Burgos CF B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Mendez P.
68'
89' Event
Velazquez M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
15%
Draws
64%
Burgos CF B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burgos CF B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Burgos CF B lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad Rodrigo CF.
  • Burgos CF B are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ciudad Rodrigo CF Clean Sheet 25%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Rodrigo CF Burgos CF B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF
3:0
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Burgos CF B
1:1
Jan 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Burgos CF B
2:3
Sep 5, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad Rodrigo CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Velazquez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Burgos CF B Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Rodrigo CF 13 / 100
Burgos CF B 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Rodrigo CF Burgos CF B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ciudad Rodrigo CF scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Burgos CF B conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ciudad Rodrigo CF went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Burgos CF B
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Rodrigo CF

(Home)
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
3 : 4
CD Mojados
01 May
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
27 Apr
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
1 : 2
La Virgen
20 Apr
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
0 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Page 1 of 6

Burgos CF B

(Away)
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
03 May
Valladolid Promesas
2 : 0
Burgos CF B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)