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Civo Utd vs Ekhaya Prediction & H2H Stats

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Dambuleni J.

AI Match Summary

Civo Utd in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Civo Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Civo Utd
20%
Draws
15%
Ekhaya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Civo Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Civo Utd have won more games recently than Ekhaya.
  • Win probability leans Civo Utd's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Civo Utd here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Civo Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Ekhaya Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Civo Utd Ekhaya
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super League
Civo Utd vs Ekhaya
1:0
Aug 27, 2025 Super League
Civo Utd vs Ekhaya
1:0
Apr 14, 2025 Super League
Ekhaya vs Civo Utd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Civo Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Dambuleni J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ekhaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Civo Utd 68 / 100
Ekhaya 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Civo Utd Ekhaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Civo Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekhaya has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Civo Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ekhaya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Civo Utd scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Civo Utd VS Ekhaya
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Civo Utd

(Home)
05 Sept
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 1
Civo Utd
23 Aug
Civo Utd
1 : 0
MAFCO
16 Aug
Blue Eagles
1 : 2
Civo Utd
09 Aug
Masters FC
1 : 0
Civo Utd
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1
Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 7

Ekhaya

(Away)
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
15 Aug
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Ekhaya
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)