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Civo Utd vs MAFCO - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Chipungu P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Civo Utd and MAFCO finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Civo Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Civo Utd
20%
Draws
7%
MAFCO
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Civo Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Civo Utd come out ahead of MAFCO on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Civo Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Civo Utd Clean Sheet 68%
MAFCO Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Civo Utd MAFCO
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.06 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Super League
Civo Utd vs MAFCO
1:0
Nov 27, 2025 Super League
MAFCO vs Civo Utd
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Civo Utd vs MAFCO
0:0
Sep 18, 2024 Super League
Civo Utd vs MAFCO
0:0
Jul 31, 2024 Super League
MAFCO vs Civo Utd
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Civo Utd 95 / 100
MAFCO 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Civo Utd MAFCO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Civo Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MAFCO's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Civo Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: MAFCO has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Civo Utd scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Civo Utd VS MAFCO
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Civo Utd

(Home)
17 Oct
Civo Utd
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
11 Oct
Karonga United
1 : 0
Civo Utd
05 Sept
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 1
Civo Utd
23 Aug
Civo Utd
1 : 0
MAFCO
16 Aug
Blue Eagles
1 : 2
Civo Utd
Page 1 of 7

MAFCO

(Away)
18 Oct
MAFCO
0 : 3
Big Bullets
10 Oct
Chitipa United
2 : 0
MAFCO
05 Sept
MAFCO
1 : 2
Moyale Barracks
23 Aug
Civo Utd
1 : 0
MAFCO
15 Aug
MAFCO
1 : 1
Masters FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Big Bullets 17 10 6 1 25:7 36
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 17 10 5 2 29:11 35
3 Blue Eagles 17 11 1 5 27:18 34
4 Silver Strikers 17 9 5 3 24:11 32
5 Chitipa United 17 7 3 7 13:19 24
6 Ekhaya 17 5 7 5 17:14 22
7 Masters FC 16 6 4 6 17:17 22
8 Mitundu Baptist 17 5 7 5 14:15 22
9 Red Lions 17 5 7 5 13:14 22
10 Moyale Barracks 17 5 6 6 17:20 21
11 Civo Utd 17 6 3 8 11:16 21
12 Dedza Dynamos 17 4 7 6 11:20 19
13 Karonga United 16 4 5 7 15:23 17
14 Kamuzu Barracks 17 3 4 10 16:25 13
15 Creck Sporting 17 3 4 10 13:22 13
16 MAFCO 17 3 4 10 12:22 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)