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Clarence Zebras vs South East United

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Wentworth Park 2, Howrah
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sartori J.
45' Event
Lynch R.
69' Event
Lynch R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Clarence Zebras and South East United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clarence Zebras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Clarence Zebras
30%
Draws
34%
South East United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clarence Zebras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South East United come out ahead of Clarence Zebras on wins alone.
  • Clarence Zebras are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 14%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clarence Zebras South East United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South East United
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South East United vs Clarence Zebras
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynch R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

South East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartori J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clarence Zebras 35 / 100
South East United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clarence Zebras South East United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clarence Zebras's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

South East United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Clarence Zebras went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Clarence Zebras VS South East United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Clarence Zebras

(Home)
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2
Launceston City
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
27 Jun
Clarence Zebras
1 : 1
Launceston United
20 Jun
Devonport
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
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South East United

(Away)
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
11 Jul
Devonport
2 : 0
South East United
05 Jul
South East United
1 : 0
South Hobart
28 Jun
Launceston City
1 : 0
South East United
20 Jun
South East United
1 : 0
Glenorchy Knights
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