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Clarence Zebras vs Ulverstone

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Wentworth Park 2, Howrah
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Tooze S.

AI Match Summary

Clarence Zebras in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Clarence Zebras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Clarence Zebras
15%
Draws
28%
Ulverstone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Clarence Zebras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulverstone average 2.7 goals a game right now, well clear of Clarence Zebras's 1.55.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Clarence Zebras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 17%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clarence Zebras Ulverstone
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.55 2.7
Goals Conceded 2.68 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Ulverstone
1:0
May 10, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs Clarence Zebras
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Tooze S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ulverstone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clarence Zebras 84 / 100
Ulverstone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clarence Zebras Ulverstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clarence Zebras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ulverstone conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Clarence Zebras's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Ulverstone has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Clarence Zebras VS Ulverstone
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Clarence Zebras

(Home)
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1
Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2
Launceston City
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Ulverstone

(Away)
08 Aug
Ulverstone
3 : 4
South East United
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
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