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Clarence Zebras vs Ulverstone

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Wentworth Park 2, Howrah
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
04:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Clarence Zebras host Ulverstone in the NPL Tasmania. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Clarence Zebras have averaged 2 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Ulverstone's 0.75 scored and 2.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Clarence Zebras slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 1.19, favoring Clarence Zebras. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Clarence Zebras
6%
Draws
4%
Ulverstone
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Clarence Zebras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulverstone have won more games recently than Clarence Zebras.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Clarence Zebras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 20%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clarence Zebras Ulverstone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs Clarence Zebras
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clarence Zebras 85 / 100
Ulverstone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clarence Zebras Ulverstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ulverstone conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Clarence Zebras found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Clarence Zebras remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Clarence Zebras VS Ulverstone
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Clarence Zebras

(Home)
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2
Launceston City
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
27 Jun
Clarence Zebras
1 : 1
Launceston United
20 Jun
Devonport
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
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Ulverstone

(Away)
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
27 Jun
Riverside Olympic
6 : 0
Ulverstone
20 Jun
Launceston United
3 : 2
Ulverstone
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