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Clermont vs Guingamp - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Clermont host Guingamp in the Ligue 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Guingamp have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Clermont have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Clermont have won 4 to Guingamp's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.38) back Clermont to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Clermont
35%
Draws
45%
Guingamp
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guingamp

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Clermont at 1.07 per game, Guingamp at 1.03.
  • Win probability leans Clermont's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Clermont here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Clermont Clean Sheet 17%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clermont Guingamp
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue 2
Clermont vs Guingamp
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Clermont
0:1
Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Clermont
3:1
Oct 5, 2024 Ligue 2
Clermont vs Guingamp
4:1
Mar 2, 2021 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Clermont
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clermont 36 / 100
Guingamp 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clermont Guingamp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Clermont scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Guingamp has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Clermont remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Clermont VS Guingamp
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Clermont

(Home)
10 Oct
Clermont
2 : 3
Red Star
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
18 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 1
Clermont
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
Page 1 of 6

Guingamp

(Away)
09 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1
Annecy
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2
Guingamp
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
2 Red Star 8 5 2 1 12:9 17
3 Montpellier 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
4 Reims 8 3 5 0 15:9 14
5 Nancy 8 4 1 3 9:7 13
6 Annecy 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
7 Pau 8 3 2 3 9:8 11
8 Sochaux 8 2 5 1 5:6 11
9 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
10 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
11 Guingamp 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
12 Dunkerque 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
13 Nantes 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
14 Grenoble 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
15 Rodez 8 2 1 5 14:18 7
16 Boulogne 8 0 6 2 4:6 6
17 Clermont 8 0 6 2 6:9 6
18 Laval 8 1 2 5 10:17 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)