Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cliftonville vs Crusaders

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Solitude, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Quinn B.
21'
McMaster D.
38'
Weir R.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Cliftonville and Crusaders finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cliftonville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cliftonville
15%
Draws
42%
Crusaders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cliftonville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cliftonville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cliftonville's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cliftonville have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 16%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cliftonville Crusaders
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Crusaders
2:1
Mar 10, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Cliftonville
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Crusaders
5:2
Dec 26, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Crusaders
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Irish Cup
Crusaders vs Cliftonville
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cliftonville Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinn B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunlop E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cliftonville 41 / 100
Crusaders 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cliftonville Crusaders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cliftonville found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Crusaders's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Crusaders's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cliftonville VS Crusaders
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cliftonville

(Home)
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

Crusaders

(Away)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)