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Clivense vs Castellanzese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Brighenti A.
34' Event
Colferai E.
59' Event
Chessa M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Clivense in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Clivense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Clivense
20%
Draws
23%
Castellanzese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Clivense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Clivense lately — more wins on the board than Castellanzese.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Clivense taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Clivense Clean Sheet 20%
Castellanzese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clivense Castellanzese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Castellanzese
2:1
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Clivense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clivense Compare

Top Goalscorer Brighenti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colferai E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Castellanzese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clivense 36 / 100
Castellanzese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clivense Castellanzese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Clivense scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Castellanzese conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Clivense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castellanzese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Clivense

(Home)
05 May
Arconatese
4 : 0
Clivense
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1
Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0
Brusaporto
14 Apr
Piacenza
0 : 0
Clivense
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0
Caravaggio
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Castellanzese

(Away)
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1
US Pontedera
10 May
Castellanzese
1 : 2
Varesina
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Castellanzese
26 Apr
Castellanzese
1 : 3
AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)