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Clivense vs Real Calepina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Zappa C.
64'
Kocic M.
71' Event
Ekuban T. A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Clivense and Real Calepina finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Calepina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Clivense
30%
Draws
23%
Real Calepina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clivense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Clivense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Clivense taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Clivense Clean Sheet 68%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clivense Real Calepina
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Real Calepina
0:3
Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Clivense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clivense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Real Calepina Compare

Top Goalscorer Zappa C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekuban T. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clivense 50 / 100
Real Calepina 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clivense Real Calepina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clivense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clivense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Real Calepina let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Clivense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Calepina
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Clivense

(Home)
05 May
Arconatese
4 : 0
Clivense
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1
Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0
Brusaporto
14 Apr
Piacenza
0 : 0
Clivense
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0
Caravaggio
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Real Calepina

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
Real Calepina
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)