Sport Picks

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Clivense vs Tritium

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Macedo Farias S.

AI Match Summary

Clivense in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Clivense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Clivense
30%
Draws
12%
Tritium
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clivense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Clivense have won more games recently than Tritium.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Clivense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Clivense Clean Sheet 68%
Tritium Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clivense Tritium
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.93 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Tritium
1:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Clivense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clivense Compare

Top Goalscorer Macedo Farias S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tritium Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clivense 59 / 100
Tritium 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clivense Tritium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clivense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tritium conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Clivense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Clivense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Clivense VS Tritium
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Clivense

(Home)
05 May
Arconatese
4 : 0
Clivense
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1
Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0
Brusaporto
14 Apr
Piacenza
0 : 0
Clivense
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0
Caravaggio
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Tritium

(Away)
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
14 Aug
Tritium
2 : 2
Solbiatese
05 May
Tritium
2 : 4
Pro Palazzolo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)