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Clodiense vs Montebelluna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Sinani I.
81' Event
Mauri M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 game between Clodiense and Montebelluna finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clodiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Clodiense
20%
Draws
23%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Clodiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Montebelluna haven't matched Clodiense's recent run of results.
  • Clodiense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Clodiense have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Clodiense Clean Sheet 20%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clodiense Montebelluna
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Montebelluna
2:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Clodiense
1:3
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Clodiense
1:3
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Montebelluna
3:1
Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Montebelluna
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clodiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinani I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mauri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Montebelluna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clodiense 58 / 100
Montebelluna 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clodiense Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clodiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clodiense's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Montebelluna conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Clodiense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Clodiense VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Clodiense

(Home)
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5
Clodiense
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
12 Sept
Schio
1 : 1
Clodiense
06 Sept
Clodiense
2 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
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Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)