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Club America U21 vs Necaxa U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Jan 31, 2026
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club America U21 play Necaxa U21 in the Liga MX U21. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club America U21 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Necaxa U21 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Club America U21 won 1, Necaxa U21 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 31, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Club America U21 and 1.44 for Necaxa U21. This points to a Necaxa U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Club America U21
15%
Draws
43%
Necaxa U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Club America U21 picked up more points recently compared to Necaxa U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Club America U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club America U21 Necaxa U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 5 0
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga MX U21
Club America U21 vs Necaxa U21
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Club America U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club America U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Necaxa U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Becerra L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club America U21 41 / 100
Necaxa U21 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club America U21 Necaxa U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Necaxa U21 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Club America U21 attacking → ← attacking Necaxa U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club America U21 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Necaxa U21 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Club America U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Necaxa U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 48
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America U2117120532:2032
2Guadalajara Chivas U2117100726:1932
3Juarez U2117110623:1832
4Monterrey U2117110627:2530
5Pachuca U211790830:1829
6Toluca U211790832:2229
7Atlas U2117100721:2329
8UNAM Pumas U2117110623:2628
9Club Leon U211790818:1627
10Necaxa U2117100723:2526
11Tigres UANL U211780920:1824
12Atletico San Luis U211780925:2424
13Club Tijuana U2117601128:2322
14Cruz Azul U2117701017:2122
15Puebla U2117501217:2220
16Queretaro U211780920:2720
17Santos Laguna U2117501216:2520
18Mazatlan FC U211740135:3113