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Club America vs Portland Timbers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Providence Park, Portland, OR
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rodriguez B.
20' Event
Velde K.
30'
Juarez R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Club America
30%
Draws
31%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Club America

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club America lately — more wins on the board than Portland Timbers.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Club America taking it.
  • Club America have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Club America, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Club America have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Club America Clean Sheet 16%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club America Portland Timbers
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.73 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Leagues Cup
Club America vs Portland Timbers
3:1
Aug 7, 2025 Leagues Cup
Club America vs Portland Timbers
2:1
May 6, 2021 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Club America vs Portland Timbers
3:1
Apr 29, 2021 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Portland Timbers vs Club America
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club America Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Violante I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Portland Timbers Compare

Top Goalscorer Velde K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club America 48 / 100
Portland Timbers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club America Portland Timbers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club America Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portland Timbers conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Club America scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Club America went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club America VS Portland Timbers
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Club America

(Home)
05 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
2 : 0
Club America
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
28 Sept
Necaxa
2 : 4
Club America
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3
Club America
Page 1 of 6

Portland Timbers

(Away)
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)