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Club Atletico Guemes vs Almagro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, Santiago del Estero
Club Atletico Guemes Logo

Club Atletico Guemes

Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Almagro Logo

Almagro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Club Atletico Guemes host Almagro in the Primera Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Club Atletico Guemes at 0.68 goals for, 1.75 against; Almagro at 1 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Club Atletico Guemes slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.13, favoring Almagro. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Club Atletico Guemes
15%
Draws
85%
Almagro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almagro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almagro lately — more wins on the board than Club Atletico Guemes.
  • Almagro are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 20%
Almagro Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Atletico Guemes Almagro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.68 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes
0:1
May 31, 2025 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Almagro
1:1
Oct 16, 2023 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Almagro
1:0
Jun 3, 2023 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Atletico Guemes 24 / 100
Almagro 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Atletico Guemes Almagro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almagro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almagro let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Club Atletico Guemes's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Almagro lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Atletico Guemes VS Almagro
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Atletico Guemes

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1
Colegiales
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

Almagro

(Away)
10 Oct
Almagro
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)