Sport Picks
Club Atletico Guemes vs Atl. Rafaela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, Santiago del Estero 
Match Events
16'
16'
Morello M.
18'
18'
Sub
Albertengo L. In: Rodriguez A.
Out: Albertengo L.
24'
24'
Sub
Ortigoza I. In: Pugliese G.
Out: Ortigoza I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Rafaela
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Atl. Rafaela have won more games recently than Club Atletico Guemes.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Atletico Guemes | Atl. Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.68 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Atl. Rafaela
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:2
Oct 2, 2022 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Atl. Rafaela
1:1
Sep 3, 2021 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1
Apr 25, 2021 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Atl. Rafaela
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Club Atletico Guemes 42 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Club Atletico Guemes Atl. Rafaela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Rafaela let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Atl. Rafaela's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Club Atletico Guemes found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Club Atletico Guemes VS Atl. Rafaela
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Club Atletico Guemes
(Home) 04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1 Colegiales
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2 Midland
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3 Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1 Colegiales
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2 Midland
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3 Gimnasia y Tiro
24 Aug
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
03 Aug
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Rafaela
(Away) 10 Oct
Midland
4 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3 Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Midland
4 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
24 Aug
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:21 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 32:15 | 59 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 38:26 | 51 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:31 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 32:31 | 47 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35:32 | 43 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 27:34 | 42 |
| 12 | Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 30:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 27:35 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23:30 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27:32 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 25:35 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
