Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, Santiago del Estero

Club Atletico Guemes

0 - 2

Atletico Atlanta

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Arguello D.

45'

Sala S. G.

46'

Sub

Bordon A. In: Juarez W.

Out: Bordon A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Club Atletico Guemes and Atletico Atlanta finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Atlanta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Club Atletico Guemes

17%

Draws

70%

Atletico Atlanta

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Atletico Atlanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Atletico Atlanta carry the better recent record into this one.
70% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Atlanta taking it.
Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 4 times recently and Atletico Atlanta have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 12%

Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Club Atletico Guemes	Atletico Atlanta
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	9	14
Draws	5	7
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	0.63	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.13	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera Nacional

Club Atletico Guemes vs Atletico Atlanta

0:2

Sep 6, 2025 Primera Nacional

Atletico Atlanta vs Club Atletico Guemes

1:0

May 3, 2025 Primera Nacional

Club Atletico Guemes vs Atletico Atlanta

2:0

Feb 19, 2022 Primera Nacional

Atletico Atlanta vs Club Atletico Guemes

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Atletico Guemes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Atletico Atlanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintana A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Castro F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Atletico Guemes 14 / 100

Atletico Atlanta 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Club Atletico Guemes Atletico Atlanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Club Atletico Guemes scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Atletico Atlanta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Club Atletico Guemes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Atletico Guemes VS Atletico Atlanta

0.63 Goals Scored 1.38

2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Atletico Guemes

(Home)

12 Jul

Club Atletico Guemes

0 : 2

San Martin S.J.

04 Jul

Nueva Chicago

2 : 0

Club Atletico Guemes

21 Jun

Club Atletico Guemes

1 : 3

Gimnasia Jujuy

14 Jun

Temperley

4 : 1

Club Atletico Guemes

07 Jun

Club Atletico Guemes

1 : 0

Deportivo Maipu

Page 1 of 6

Atletico Atlanta

(Away)

14 Jul

Atletico Atlanta

1 : 0

Colegiales

04 Jul

Quilmes

2 : 1

Atletico Atlanta

20 Jun

Almagro

2 : 0

Atletico Atlanta

13 Jun

Midland

1 : 2

Atletico Atlanta

06 Jun

Atletico Atlanta

3 : 0

Gimnasia Jujuy

Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19:16	31
6	CA Estudiantes	21	8	7	6	18:16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Temperley	21	8	10	3	21:17	34
4	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	21	7	9	5	19:15	30
7	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
8	Atl. Rafaela	21	7	6	8	15:18	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	20	6	8	6	18:18	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)