Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Club Atletico Guemes vs San Martin T.

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, Santiago del Estero
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Godoy F. In: Berges F.
Out: Godoy F.
28' Event
Diellos D.
Assist: Arfaras L.
28'
Veliz D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Club Atletico Guemes and San Martin T. finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin T..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Club Atletico Guemes
6%
Draws
90%
San Martin T.
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Martin T.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Club Atletico Guemes and San Martin T. close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • San Martin T. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 17%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Atletico Guemes San Martin T.
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs San Martin T.
0:2
Jul 6, 2025 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs San Martin T.
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Club Atletico Guemes
2:2
Jun 9, 2024 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs San Martin T.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Atletico Guemes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Diellos D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreyra N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Atletico Guemes 10 / 100
San Martin T. 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Atletico Guemes San Martin T.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Atletico Guemes's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

San Martin T.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Club Atletico Guemes stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Atletico Guemes VS San Martin T.
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Atletico Guemes

(Home)
12 Jul
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
San Martin S.J.
04 Jul
Nueva Chicago
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
21 Jun
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia Jujuy
14 Jun
Temperley
4 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
07 Jun
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 0
Deportivo Maipu
Page 1 of 6

San Martin T.

(Away)
17 Jul
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
San Martin T.
12 Jul
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Almagro
05 Jul
Patronato
0 : 1
San Martin T.
20 Jun
Temperley
1 : 1
San Martin T.
13 Jun
Colegiales
2 : 0
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)