Sport Picks
Club Atletico Guemes vs San Miguel
Argentina
Primera Nacional 2025 Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, Santiago del Estero 
Match Events
5'
5'
Gerez M.
Assist: Juarez N.
7'
7'
Salto C.
70'
70'
Sub
Veliz D. In: Chiozza L.
Out: Veliz D.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional 2025 game between Club Atletico Guemes and San Miguel finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Atletico Guemes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Miguel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Club Atletico Guemes carry the better recent record into this one.
- San Miguel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 16%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Atletico Guemes | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 15 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs San Miguel
1:0
May 24, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs San Miguel
2:0
May 4, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Club Atletico Guemes Compare
Top Goalscorer Gerez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
San Miguel Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Club Atletico Guemes 10 / 100
San Miguel 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Club Atletico Guemes San Miguel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Club Atletico Guemes found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
San Miguel has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Club Atletico Guemes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Club Atletico Guemes VS San Miguel
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Club Atletico Guemes
(Home) 12 Jul
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2 San Martin S.J.
04 Jul
Nueva Chicago
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
21 Jun
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3 Gimnasia Jujuy
14 Jun
Temperley
4 : 1 Club Atletico Guemes
07 Jun
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 0 Deportivo Maipu
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2 San Martin S.J.
21 Jun
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3 Gimnasia Jujuy
07 Jun
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 0 Deportivo Maipu
24 May
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 0 Patronato
10 May
Club Atletico Guemes
2 : 1 Quilmes
Page 1 of 3
San Miguel
(Away) 11 Jul
San Miguel
0 : 1 Ferro
05 Jul
Central Norte
1 : 1 San Miguel
20 Jun
Acassuso
0 : 2 San Miguel
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2 San Miguel
06 Jun
San Miguel
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Central Norte
1 : 1 San Miguel
20 Jun
Acassuso
0 : 2 San Miguel
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2 San Miguel
31 May
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 1 San Miguel
17 May
CA Mitre
4 : 0 San Miguel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:28 | 60 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 55 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 33:23 | 52 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 34:23 | 51 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 32:28 | 50 |
| 6 | San Martin T. | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 32:29 | 49 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 34:30 | 48 |
| 8 | Patronato | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 31:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 26:26 | 47 |
| 10 | All Boys | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 26:25 | 41 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:45 | 41 |
| 12 | Ferro | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:33 | 41 |
| 13 | Los Andes | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:31 | 40 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Guemes | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 28:32 | 40 |
| 15 | Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:32 | 38 |
| 16 | Almagro | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 24:31 | 35 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | 34 |
| 18 | Alvarado | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 18:33 | 33 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2025 (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 35:18 | 63 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 35:22 | 60 |
| 3 | CA Estudiantes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 41:22 | 59 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 36:19 | 58 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 36:20 | 57 |
| 6 | Temperley | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 30:22 | 55 |
| 7 | Agropecuario | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 43:34 | 54 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 34:26 | 53 |
| 9 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 37:29 | 49 |
| 10 | Defensores de Belgrano | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 30:26 | 48 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 27:33 | 41 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31:42 | 41 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:31 | 40 |
| 14 | Almirante Brown | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:38 | 36 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 27:41 | 36 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 22:39 | 32 |
| 17 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 17:40 | 23 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 17:52 | 21 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2025 (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)