Sport Picks
Club Atletico Morelia vs Jaiba Brava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Morelos, Morelia 
AI Match Summary
Club Atletico Morelia host Jaiba Brava in the Liga de Expansion MX. This one's hard to separate. Jaiba Brava have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Club Atletico Morelia have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Club Atletico Morelia have won 2 to Jaiba Brava's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.19) back Club Atletico Morelia to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Club Atletico Morelia lately — more wins on the board than Jaiba Brava.
- Win probability leans Club Atletico Morelia's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Atletico Morelia | Jaiba Brava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Club Atletico Morelia found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Jaiba Brava let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.
Solid form: Club Atletico Morelia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: Jaiba Brava registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Club Atletico Morelia
(Home)Jaiba Brava
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
