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Club Leon U21 vs Pachuca U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
3 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Marin D.
50' Event
Marin D.
53' Event
Salinas J.

AI Match Summary

Club Leon U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Leon U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Club Leon U21
15%
Draws
24%
Pachuca U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Leon U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Leon U21 lately — more wins on the board than Pachuca U21.
  • Model gives Club Leon U21 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Club Leon U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Club Leon U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon U21 Pachuca U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 0 2
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.6
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga MX U21
Club Leon U21 vs Pachuca U21
3:2
Jan 13, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Club Leon U21
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 Liga MX U21
Club Leon U21 vs Pachuca U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pachuca U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon U21 85 / 100
Pachuca U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon U21 Pachuca U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Club Leon U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Club Leon U21's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pachuca U21 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon U21 VS Pachuca U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon U21

(Home)
09 Oct
Puebla U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
27 Sept
Club Leon U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
20 Sept
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Club Leon U21
12 Sept
Club Leon U21
3 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
Page 1 of 6

Pachuca U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
2 : 0
Pachuca U21
20 Sept
Pachuca U21
2 : 1
Club Tijuana U21
11 Sept
Atlante U21
1 : 0
Pachuca U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)