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Club Leon vs Club America - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio León, León
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Leon host Club America in the Liga MX. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Club Leon have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Club America's 1.67 scored and 1.18 conceded. Head-to-head, Club Leon have won 1 to Club America's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.56, favoring Club Leon. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Club Leon
35%
Draws
25%
Club America
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Club Leon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 15%
Club America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Club America
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 18 14
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Leagues Cup
Club Leon vs Club America
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Club America
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 Liga MX
Club America vs Club Leon
2:0
Feb 20, 2025 Liga MX
Club America vs Club Leon
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Club America
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 30 / 100
Club America 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Club America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Club America's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Club Leon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Club America
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon

(Home)
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 7

Club America

(Away)
05 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
2 : 0
Club America
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
28 Sept
Necaxa
2 : 4
Club America
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3
Club America
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 10 6 3 1 22:11 21
2 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
3 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
4 Guadalajara Chivas 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
5 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
6 Atlas 11 5 3 3 17:18 18
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
9 Puebla 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Monterrey 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
11 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
12 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
13 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
14 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
15 Atlante 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)