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Club Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio León, León
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Leon host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Club Leon at 1.83 goals for, 1.48 against; Guadalajara Chivas at 1.55 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Club Leon slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.50) back Club Leon to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Club Leon
35%
Draws
38%
Guadalajara Chivas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Club Leon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 16%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Guadalajara Chivas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.48 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Leon
5:0
Jul 20, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas
2:1
Sep 19, 2024 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Leon
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Leon
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 36 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Guadalajara Chivas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Club Leon scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Club Leon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Guadalajara Chivas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Guadalajara Chivas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon

(Home)
24 Oct
Club Leon
1 : 1
Toluca
21 Oct
Tigres UANL
0 : 2
Club Leon
18 Oct
Club Leon
3 : 5
Club America
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
Page 1 of 6

Guadalajara Chivas

(Away)
25 Oct
Monterrey
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
21 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 0
Necaxa
17 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 1
Tigres UANL
11 Oct
Atlas
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
05 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
2 : 0
Club America
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 14 8 4 2 34:19 28
2 Cruz Azul 14 8 2 4 32:23 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14 7 5 2 21:12 26
4 Atlas 14 7 3 4 25:26 24
5 Toluca 14 6 5 3 29:19 23
6 Club Leon 14 6 4 4 21:18 22
7 Club Tijuana 14 5 6 3 22:18 21
8 Monterrey 13 6 2 5 23:18 20
9 Queretaro 13 6 2 5 17:18 20
10 Santos Laguna 14 6 1 7 20:20 19
11 Atletico San Luis 14 5 4 5 19:22 19
12 UNAM Pumas 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Pachuca 14 4 4 6 22:19 16
14 Puebla 14 4 4 6 16:21 16
15 Tigres UANL 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
16 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 14 1 2 11 9:33 5
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)