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Club Leon vs Santos Laguna

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio León
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Leon play Santos Laguna in the Liga MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club Leon averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. Santos Laguna averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Club Leon won 2, Santos Laguna won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Club Leon and 1.69 for Santos Laguna. This points to a Club Leon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Club Leon
15%
Draws
40%
Santos Laguna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Leon picked up more points recently compared to Santos Laguna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 13%
Santos Laguna Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Santos Laguna
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.64 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Santos Laguna
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Club Leon
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Club Leon
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Santos Laguna
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Santos Laguna
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Arcila D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Santos Laguna Compare

Top Goalscorer Bullaude E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 43 / 100
Santos Laguna 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Santos Laguna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Club Leon or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Club Leon attacking → ← attacking Santos Laguna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Santos Laguna let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Club Leon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santos Laguna lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 35
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812