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Club Leon vs Tigres UANL

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio León
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Flores M.
Assist: Lainez D.
49'
Vegas S.
54' Event
Lainez D.
Assist: Rodriguez O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Club Leon and Tigres UANL finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres UANL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Club Leon
33%
Draws
27%
Tigres UANL
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Leon haven't matched Tigres UANL's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Club Leon taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 10%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Tigres UANL
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 2.5 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Tigres UANL
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Club Leon
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Tigres UANL
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Club Leon
2:2
Jan 18, 2024 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Tigres UANL
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cambindo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Tigres UANL Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lainez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 38 / 100
Tigres UANL 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Tigres UANL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Club Leon scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Tigres UANL has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Tigres UANL's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Tigres UANL
2.5 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812