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Club Leon W vs Club America W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio León, León
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Geyse
12' Event
Priscila
13'
Lemos S.

AI Match Summary

Club America W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club America W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Club Leon W
15%
Draws
53%
Club America W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club America W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club America W lately — more wins on the board than Club Leon W.
  • Model gives Club America W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Club America W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%
Club America W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon W Club America W
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 27
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.87 3.16
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Club America W
0:5
Mar 14, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Club Leon W
4:2
Jul 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Club America W
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Club Leon W
5:0
Aug 27, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Club America W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Club America W Compare

Top Goalscorer Geyse
2 Goals
Assists Leader Priscila
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon W 10 / 100
Club America W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon W Club America W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club America W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Club Leon W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Club America W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Club Leon W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon W VS Club America W
1.88 Goals Scored 4.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon W

(Home)
28 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 5
Club America W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0
Club Leon W
Page 1 of 6

Club America W

(Away)
03 Oct
Monterrey W
4 : 3
Club America W
28 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 5
Club America W
20 Sept
Club America W
2 : 2
Atlas W
13 Sept
Club America W
5 : 2
Tigres UANL W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2
Club America W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)