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Club Leon W vs Monterrey W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio León
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Leon W play Monterrey W in the Liga MX Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club Leon W averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Monterrey W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Club Leon W won 0, Monterrey W won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 27, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.46 for Club Leon W and 2.04 for Monterrey W. This points to a Monterrey W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Club Leon W
25%
Draws
47%
Monterrey W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Club Leon W picked up more points recently compared to Monterrey W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.46 vs 2.04 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon W Monterrey W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.97 2
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.71 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Monterrey W
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Club Leon W
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Club Leon W
2:0
Sep 27, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Monterrey W
1:1
Mar 8, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Monterrey W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleman I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Burkenroad C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon W 27 / 100
Monterrey W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon W Monterrey W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Monterrey W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Club Leon W attacking → ← attacking Monterrey W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Monterrey W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Club Leon W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Monterrey W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 60
2.29 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624