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Club Leon W vs Tigres UANL W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio León, León
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Garcia M.
45' Event
Razo V.
Assist: Soto K.
58'
Mariza

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tigres UANL W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Club Leon W
15%
Draws
53%
Tigres UANL W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tigres UANL W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres UANL W have won more games recently than Club Leon W.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Tigres UANL W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%
Tigres UANL W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon W Tigres UANL W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.87 2.53
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Tigres UANL W
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Tigres UANL W
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Club Leon W
9:0
Jan 20, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Tigres UANL W
2:2
Sep 2, 2024 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Club Leon W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Razo V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tigres UANL W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Delgado A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon W 10 / 100
Tigres UANL W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon W Tigres UANL W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Club Leon W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Tigres UANL W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Club Leon W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon W VS Tigres UANL W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon W

(Home)
28 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 5
Club America W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0
Club Leon W
Page 1 of 6

Tigres UANL W

(Away)
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Tigres UANL W
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7
Tigres UANL W
13 Sept
Club America W
5 : 2
Tigres UANL W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0
Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)