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Club Milano vs Clivense

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Milano play Clivense in the Serie D - Group B 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club Milano averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Clivense averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Club Milano won 0, Clivense won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 31, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Club Milano and 1.25 for Clivense. This points to a Clivense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Club Milano
17%
Draws
45%
Clivense
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Clivense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Milano picked up more points recently compared to Clivense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Club Milano Clean Sheet 19%
Clivense Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Milano Clivense
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.26 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Club Milano vs Clivense
0:1
Oct 4, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Club Milano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Milano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Clivense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisse O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Milano 38 / 100
Clivense 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Milano Clivense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Clivense or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Club Milano attacking → ← attacking Clivense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Milano scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Clivense let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Club Milano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Clivense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 46
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Caldiero Terme38238755:3277
2Piacenza38228869:3574
3Pro Palazzolo382110749:2673
4Desenzano Calvina381912751:2869
5Varesina382081073:4968
6Arconatese382151258:3868
7Brusaporto381591455:5454
8Clivense3814111338:4753
9Villa Valle381581550:4453
10Folgore Caratese381118944:4551
11USD Casatese3813121353:5351
12Caravaggio3812101644:5146
13Ciserano-Bergamo381361949:5845
14Club Milano3811121541:4445
15Real Calepina3811111638:4744
16Legnano381191834:5042
17Castellanzese389121736:5139
18Crema38992025:4836
19Tritium386112127:5729
20Ponte San Pietro38592431:6324