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Club Milano vs Real Calepina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Milano host Real Calepina in the Serie D - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Club Milano have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Real Calepina's 1.23 scored and 1.32 conceded. Past meetings favor Real Calepina slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2024, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Real Calepina. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Club Milano
15%
Draws
36%
Real Calepina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Milano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Real Calepina at 1.23 per game, Club Milano at 1.13.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Club Milano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Club Milano Clean Sheet 20%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Milano Real Calepina
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Club Milano
2:1
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Club Milano vs Real Calepina
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Milano 58 / 100
Real Calepina 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Milano Real Calepina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Milano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Calepina let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Real Calepina's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Club Milano scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Milano VS Real Calepina
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Milano

(Home)
11 Oct
Tritium
0 : 1
Club Milano
04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2
AC Leon
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
Page 1 of 7

Real Calepina

(Away)
11 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 3
Villa Valle
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2
AC Leon
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1
Real Calepina
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 7 6 0 1 11:3 18
2 Chievo 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 AC Leon 7 3 3 1 12:7 12
4 Caldiero Terme 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Villa Valle 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
7 Pro Palazzolo 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
9 AC Milan U23 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
10 Brusaporto 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
11 Virtus Verona 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
12 Real Calepina 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
13 Scanzorosciate 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Club Milano 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
15 Pavonese 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
16 Rovato Vertovese 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)