Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Club Nacional vs Deportivo Colonia

Uruguay Uruguay

Primera Division 2005/2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2005/2006 game between Club Nacional and Deportivo Colonia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Colonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Club Nacional
33%
Draws
27%
Deportivo Colonia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Club Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Club Nacional's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 13%
Deportivo Colonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Nacional Deportivo Colonia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2006 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Deportivo Colonia
0:2
Oct 29, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Deportivo Colonia vs Club Nacional
0:0
Apr 17, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Deportivo Colonia
3:2
Jun 9, 2004 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Deportivo Colonia
3:2
Aug 2, 2003 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Deportivo Colonia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Nacional 39 / 100
Deportivo Colonia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Nacional Deportivo Colonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Nacional's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Colonia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Deportivo Colonia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Nacional VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Nacional

(Home)
21 Jul
Club Nacional
0 : 3
Tigre
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0
Club Nacional
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Maldonado
3 : 0
Club Nacional
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Colonia

(Away)
10 Oct
Deportivo Colonia
1 : 2
Juventud
07 Sept
Deportivo Colonia
0 : 2
Cerro Largo
10 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 2
Deportivo Colonia
06 Jul
Deportivo Colonia
3 : 1
Santa Emilia
14 Jun
Liverpool M.
2 : 1
Deportivo Colonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Nacional16122231:1238
2Defensor Sp.16105134:1535
3Danubio1693430:2430
4Central Esp.1683519:1627
5Liverpool M.1674527:2725
6Rentistas1673628:2224
7Cerrito1658317:1623
8Rampla Juniors1665524:2923
9River Plate Montevideo1662819:2020
10Bella Vista1654718:1919
11Tacuarembo1646612:1818
12Wanderers1644817:1916
13Miramar1644817:2816
14CA Cerro1663723:1615
15Rocha16321117:2911
16Deportivo Colonia16321112:3011
17Penarol1654720:257
Promotion - Primera Division 2005/2006 (Play Offs)