Sport Picks
Club Nacional vs Maldonado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Gran Parque Central, Montevideo 
AI Match Summary
Club Nacional host Maldonado in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Little to choose between these two on current form. Maldonado have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Club Nacional have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.44. Past meetings favor Club Nacional slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward Maldonado. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Club Nacional have managed 1.44 goals a game lately — Maldonado are scoring more at 1.68.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Nacional | Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Club Nacional went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Club Nacional found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).
Maldonado has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Club Nacional
(Home)Maldonado
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo City | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Penarol | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 7 | Juventud | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 8 | CA Cerro | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 12 | Defensor Sp. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Danubio | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Central Esp. | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 16 | Albion | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:18 | 3 |
