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Club Nacional vs Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
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Match Events

15'
Zuculini B.
23' Event
Cosentino L.
38'
Formiliano F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Club Nacional and Wanderers finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Club Nacional
20%
Draws
35%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Club Nacional's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 20%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Nacional Wanderers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Club Nacional
1:1
Jul 17, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Wanderers
1:2
Mar 13, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Wanderers
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Club Nacional
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Wanderers
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Boggio L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Cosentino L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeballos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Nacional 58 / 100
Wanderers 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Nacional Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Nacional Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Nacional has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Club Nacional's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Club Nacional VS Wanderers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Nacional

(Home)
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0
Montevideo City
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2
Club Nacional
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1
Club Nacional
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1
Club Nacional
Page 1 of 6

Wanderers

(Away)
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
04 Oct
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Wanderers
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 7 5 1 1 12:3 16
2 Cerro Largo 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
3 Racing Montevideo 7 2 4 1 4:3 10
4 Liverpool M. 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
5 Central Esp. 7 2 3 2 4:4 9
6 CA Cerro 7 3 0 4 6:10 9
7 Defensor Sp. 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
8 Boston River 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wanderers 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
2 Club Nacional 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
3 Maldonado 7 3 3 1 12:6 12
4 Montevideo City 7 4 0 3 11:11 12
5 Juventud 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
6 Albion 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
7 Progreso 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
8 Danubio 7 0 4 3 5:9 4
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)