Sport Picks

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Club Oriental De Futbol vs Bella Vista

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Oriental De Futbol play Bella Vista in the Segunda Division 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club Oriental De Futbol averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Bella Vista averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Club Oriental De Futbol won 1, Bella Vista won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 19, 2023 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Club Oriental De Futbol and 0.94 for Bella Vista. This points to a Club Oriental De Futbol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Club Oriental De Futbol
22%
Draws
28%
Bella Vista
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Club Oriental De Futbol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Club Oriental De Futbol picked up more points recently compared to Bella Vista.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Club Oriental De Futbol Clean Sheet 24%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Oriental De Futbol Bella Vista
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.28 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Club Oriental De Futbol
0:3
Jul 8, 2023 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Bella Vista
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Oriental De Futbol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bella Vista Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Couto L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Oriental De Futbol 50 / 100
Bella Vista 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Oriental De Futbol Bella Vista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Club Oriental De Futbol or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Club Oriental De Futbol attacking → ← attacking Bella Vista

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Oriental De Futbol scored in 69% of their last 39 games.

Bella Vista let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Club Oriental De Futbol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bella Vista lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 25
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00