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Club Tijuana W vs Guadalajara Chivas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Surovtseva M.
40' Event
Castro D.
42'
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Club Tijuana W
15%
Draws
57%
Guadalajara Chivas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Tijuana W haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas W's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Guadalajara Chivas W taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Club Tijuana W Clean Sheet 10%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Tijuana W Guadalajara Chivas W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.62 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:2
Mar 30, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Club Tijuana W
2:0
Feb 11, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:1
Oct 7, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Club Tijuana W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Tijuana W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cervantes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Tijuana W 10 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Tijuana W Guadalajara Chivas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Tijuana W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Guadalajara Chivas W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Club Tijuana W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Club Tijuana W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Tijuana W

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Tijuana W
1 : 0
Atlante W
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1
Club Tijuana W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0
Club Tijuana W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
Page 1 of 6

Guadalajara Chivas W

(Away)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)