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Club Tijuana W vs Necaxa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Garcia J.
8'
Cervantes Z.
12' Event
Peralta W.

AI Match Summary

Club Tijuana W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Tijuana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Club Tijuana W
15%
Draws
0%
Necaxa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Tijuana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Tijuana W lately — more wins on the board than Necaxa W.
  • Club Tijuana W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Club Tijuana W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Club Tijuana W Clean Sheet 68%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Tijuana W Necaxa W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 1
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 28
Goals Scored 1.62 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.86 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Necaxa W
5:1
Apr 5, 2026 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Club Tijuana W
1:6
Aug 31, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Necaxa W
1:0
Feb 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Club Tijuana W
1:3
Jul 25, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Necaxa W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Tijuana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hancar K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Necaxa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Tijuana W 95 / 100
Necaxa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Tijuana W Necaxa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Tijuana W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa W let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Necaxa W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Club Tijuana W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Club Tijuana W VS Necaxa W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Tijuana W

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Tijuana W
1 : 0
Atlante W
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1
Club Tijuana W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0
Club Tijuana W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
Page 1 of 6

Necaxa W

(Away)
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4
Toluca W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)