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Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Comercial MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 game between Clube de Regatas Aquidauana and Comercial MS finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clube de Regatas Aquidauana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
30%
Draws
34%
Comercial MS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Clube de Regatas Aquidauana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Clube de Regatas Aquidauana a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 18%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Comercial MS
Matches Played 19 27
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Comercial MS
4:1
Sep 7, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 36 / 100
Comercial MS 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Comercial MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial MS has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana VS Comercial MS
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

(Home)
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
15 Feb
Ivinhema
1 : 0
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
11 Feb
Aguia Negra
1 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
07 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1 : 1
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 4

Comercial MS

(Away)
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
25 Jun
Comercial MS
2 : 1
7 de Setembro
20 Jun
Aquidauanense
1 : 0
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bataguassu1072127:923
2Clube de Regatas Aquidauana1072123:723
3Maracaju1044212:1316
4Comercial MS1024412:1710
5Esporte Clube Taveiropolis1020811:256
6Sao Gabriel MS101276:205
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Main)