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Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Naviraiense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naviraiense in this Sul-Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naviraiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
28%
Draws
22%
Naviraiense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naviraiense lately — more wins on the board than Clube de Regatas Aquidauana.
  • Clube de Regatas Aquidauana are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 18%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Naviraiense
Matches Played 19 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Naviraiense
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 49 / 100
Naviraiense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Naviraiense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (19 games).

Defensive concern: Naviraiense conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana VS Naviraiense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naviraiense953113:918
2Operario MS945014:517
3Corumbaense934210:713
4Ivinhema933310:1112
5Bataguassu933315:1712
6Dourados924315:1410
7Clube de Regatas Aquidauana924312:1310
8Pantanal923410:159
9Costa Rica91536:108
10Aguia Negra91449:137