Sport Picks
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Brazil
Alagoano Estádio Juca Sampaio, Palmeira dos Índios 
Match Events
22'
22'
Celestino
45'
45'
Michel Douglas
46'
46'
Sub
Silva de Sousa L. In: Pablo
Out: Silva de Sousa L.
AI Match Summary
Cruzeiro Arapiraca in this Alagoano matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruzeiro Arapiraca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Clube Sociedade Esportiva lately — more wins on the board than Cruzeiro Arapiraca.
- Clube Sociedade Esportiva are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Alagoano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Cruzeiro Arapiraca have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Clean Sheet 18%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | Cruzeiro Arapiraca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.65 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Alagoano
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:2
Feb 25, 2024 Alagoano
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1:2
Jan 29, 2023 Alagoano
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
0:1
Jan 23, 2022 Alagoano
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Michel Douglas
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucas Santana
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 36 / 100
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Cruzeiro Arapiraca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Clube Sociedade Esportiva scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Cruzeiro Arapiraca has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Clube Sociedade Esportiva has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Clube Sociedade Esportiva VS Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1.5 Goals Scored 0.8
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
88% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
(Home) 14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1 Juazeirense
30 May
ASA
0 : 0 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0 Alagoinhas
17 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 5 CSA
10 May
Jacuipense
2 : 1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Page 1 of 7
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1 Juazeirense
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0 Alagoinhas
17 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 5 CSA
03 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 2 Jacuipense
12 Apr
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 2 ASA
Page 1 of 4
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
(Away) 18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1 Cruzeiro Arapiraca
10 Mar
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 3 Dimensao Capela
07 Feb
CSA
2 : 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca
04 Feb
CSA
3 : 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca
31 Jan
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1 Coruripe
Page 1 of 6
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1 Cruzeiro Arapiraca
07 Feb
CSA
2 : 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca
04 Feb
CSA
3 : 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca
21 Jan
CRB
1 : 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca
18 Jan
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 2 Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASA | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 17 |
| 2 | CSA | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:1 | 17 |
| 3 | CRB | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Murici | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro Arapiraca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 6 | Coruripe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 7 | SC Penedense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | 5 |
| 8 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)
