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Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Juca Sampaio
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Celestino
45'
Michel Douglas
46'
Sub
Silva de Sousa L. In: Pablo
Out: Silva de Sousa L.

AI Match Summary

Cruzeiro Arapiraca in this Alagoano matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruzeiro Arapiraca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
30%
Draws
34%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clube Sociedade Esportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Clube Sociedade Esportiva lately — more wins on the board than Cruzeiro Arapiraca.
  • Clube Sociedade Esportiva are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Alagoano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cruzeiro Arapiraca have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Clean Sheet 18%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clube Sociedade Esportiva Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Alagoano
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:2
Feb 25, 2024 Alagoano
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1:2
Jan 29, 2023 Alagoano
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
0:1
Jan 23, 2022 Alagoano
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clube Sociedade Esportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel Douglas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Santana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clube Sociedade Esportiva 36 / 100
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clube Sociedade Esportiva scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Clube Sociedade Esportiva has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Clube Sociedade Esportiva VS Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1.5 Goals Scored 0.8
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
88% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 20%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASA752013:317
2CSA752010:117
3CRB74128:813
4Murici73228:511
5Cruzeiro Arapiraca72056:126
6Coruripe71245:115
7SC Penedense71242:85
8Clube Sociedade Esportiva71156:104