Sport Picks
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Miguelense
Brazil
Copa Alagoas Estádio Juca Sampaio, Palmeira dos Índios 
Match Events
48'
48'
Michel Douglas
66'
66'
Rai
87'
87'
Pinheiro da Silva L.
AI Match Summary
Clube Sociedade Esportiva in this Copa Alagoas tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Clube Sociedade Esportiva have won more games recently than Miguelense.
- Model gives Clube Sociedade Esportiva a 36% chance of winning this.
- Clube Sociedade Esportiva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Clube Sociedade Esportiva, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Clube Sociedade Esportiva here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Clean Sheet 16%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | Miguelense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 4, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Miguelense
2:1
Apr 8, 2017 Alagoano
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Miguelense
4:0
Apr 5, 2017 Alagoano
Miguelense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Michel Douglas
1 Goals Assists Leader Rai
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Miguelense Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinheiro da Silva L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 36 / 100
Miguelense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Miguelense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Clube Sociedade Esportiva scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Miguelense conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Away concern: Miguelense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Clube Sociedade Esportiva VS Miguelense
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
(Home) 14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1 Juazeirense
30 May
ASA
0 : 0 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0 Alagoinhas
17 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 5 CSA
10 May
Jacuipense
2 : 1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Page 1 of 6
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1 Juazeirense
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0 Alagoinhas
17 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 5 CSA
03 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 2 Jacuipense
12 Apr
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 2 ASA
Page 1 of 3
Miguelense
(Away) 17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0 Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3 Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1 Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1 Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0 Sao Domingos AL
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0 Miguelense
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1 Miguelense
19 Apr
Sporting FC
4 : 1 Miguelense
18 Mar
ASA
6 : 0 Miguelense
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0 Miguelense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSA | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 9 |
| 2 | CRB | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Coruripe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro Arapiraca | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Dimensao Capela | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 1 |
| 6 | Alianca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASA | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Zumbi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Murici | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 5 | SC Penedense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 6 | Miguelense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)