Sport Picks
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs SC Penedense
Brazil
Copa Alagoas Estádio Juca Sampaio, Palmeira dos Índios 
Match Events
21'
21'
Thiago Magno
45'
45'
Baranhas
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Clube Sociedade Esportiva advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Clube Sociedade Esportiva come out ahead of SC Penedense on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Clube Sociedade Esportiva's way, sitting at 36%.
- Clube Sociedade Esportiva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Clube Sociedade Esportiva, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Clube Sociedade Esportiva have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Clean Sheet 68%
SC Penedense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | SC Penedense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 34 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.20 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 29, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs SC Penedense
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 Alagoano
SC Penedense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs SC Penedense
1:0
Mar 26, 2025 Copa Alagoas
SC Penedense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1:1
Feb 5, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs SC Penedense
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Thiago Magno
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
SC Penedense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 46 / 100
SC Penedense 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Clube Sociedade Esportiva SC Penedense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Clube Sociedade Esportiva's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
SC Penedense let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.
Difficult form: SC Penedense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Clube Sociedade Esportiva VS SC Penedense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.6
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.2
88% Over 1.5 40%
88% Over 2.5 20%
50% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
(Home) 14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1 Juazeirense
30 May
ASA
0 : 0 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0 Alagoinhas
17 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 5 CSA
10 May
Jacuipense
2 : 1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Page 1 of 7
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1 Juazeirense
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0 Alagoinhas
17 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 5 CSA
03 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 2 Jacuipense
12 Apr
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 2 ASA
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SC Penedense
(Away) 18 Mar
SC Penedense
2 : 2 Zumbi
02 Mar
SC Penedense
0 : 1 ASA
25 Feb
Londrina
1 : 0 SC Penedense
21 Feb
Miguelense
0 : 1 SC Penedense
07 Feb
ASA
2 : 0 SC Penedense
Page 1 of 7
25 Feb
Londrina
1 : 0 SC Penedense
21 Feb
Miguelense
0 : 1 SC Penedense
07 Feb
ASA
2 : 0 SC Penedense
29 Jan
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 0 SC Penedense
25 Jan
Coruripe
1 : 1 SC Penedense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSA | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 9 |
| 2 | CRB | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Coruripe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro Arapiraca | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Dimensao Capela | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 1 |
| 6 | Alianca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASA | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Zumbi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Murici | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 5 | SC Penedense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 6 | Miguelense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)