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CMD San Juan vs Arcos CF

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015 game between CMD San Juan and Arcos CF finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
CMD San Juan
20%
Draws
11%
Arcos CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CMD San Juan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • CMD San Juan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CMD San Juan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CMD San Juan Clean Sheet 20%
Arcos CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CMD San Juan Arcos CF
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.07 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs CMD San Juan
2:1
Oct 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs Arcos CF
2:0
Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs Arcos CF
1:1
Oct 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs CMD San Juan
1:0
Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs Arcos CF
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CMD San Juan 85 / 100
Arcos CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CMD San Juan Arcos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CMD San Juan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CMD San Juan's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Arcos CF conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CMD San Juan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arcos CF
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CMD San Juan

(Home)
15 May
Lebrijana
2 : 1
CMD San Juan
08 May
CMD San Juan
3 : 2
Los Barrios
01 May
Conil
1 : 2
CMD San Juan
24 Apr
CMD San Juan
3 : 0
San Roque de Cadiz
10 Apr
CMD San Juan
2 : 0
AD Ceuta
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Arcos CF

(Away)
26 Aug
Arcos CF
0 : 1
Antoniano
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
20 Aug
Antoniano
2 : 1
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Coria C.F.
2 : 1
Arcos CF
30 May
Arcos CF
1 : 1
La Palma CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 42 31 7 4 77:28 100
2 CD San Fernando 42 28 7 7 88:28 91
3 CD Gerena 42 28 3 11 89:38 87
4 Sanluqueno 42 26 5 11 74:40 83
5 AD Ceuta 42 20 12 10 50:32 72
6 Lebrijana 42 18 6 18 60:66 60
7 Conil 42 16 12 14 51:60 60
8 Sevilla C 42 15 13 14 42:45 58
9 Ecija 42 15 13 14 49:41 58
10 CD Alcala 42 15 12 15 40:52 57
11 Coria C.F. 42 16 9 17 48:42 57
12 San Roque de Cadiz 42 14 14 14 47:49 56
13 CMD San Juan 42 14 10 18 48:49 52
14 Los Barrios 42 15 7 20 45:50 52
15 CD Guadalcacin 42 14 10 18 39:48 52
16 Cabecense 42 12 13 17 36:54 49
17 Arcos CF 42 14 6 22 46:74 48
18 Mairena 42 11 11 20 42:55 44
19 PD Rociera 42 10 10 22 40:73 40
20 Cadiz B 42 9 11 22 45:54 38
21 La Palma CF 42 9 9 24 35:69 36
22 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 42 9 6 27 34:78 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)