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Coalville Town vs Long Eaton

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Pennant T.
90' Event
Tyson N.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 game between Coalville Town and Long Eaton finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Coalville Town
39%
Draws
31%
Long Eaton
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coalville Town come out ahead of Long Eaton on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Coalville Town have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Coalville Town Clean Sheet 68%
Long Eaton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coalville Town Long Eaton
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Coalville Town vs Long Eaton
1:1
Oct 24, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Long Eaton vs Coalville Town
0:6
Sep 14, 2013 FA Cup
Coalville Town vs Long Eaton
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coalville Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Pennant T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Long Eaton Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyson N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coalville Town 41 / 100
Long Eaton 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coalville Town Long Eaton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Long Eaton has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Coalville Town's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Long Eaton registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coalville Town VS Long Eaton
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Needham Market40267774:3485
2Telford402410669:3482
3Leamington401914761:3271
4Redditch402171265:5270
5Mickleover40256977:4369
6Stratford402161369:5769
7Stamford401991280:5866
8Halesowen401881454:5062
9St Ives Town401841887:7258
10Royston Town401761763:6157
11Coalville Town4015101568:5755
12Stourbridge4014101652:5052
13Leiston4014101656:7152
14Barwell4013121564:6551
15Kettering401391849:7448
16Alvechurch401291949:7045
17Bromsgrove401282044:5144
18Sudbury4010102053:6240
19Hitchin401162346:6439
20Long Eaton40572839:10922
21Berkhamsted Town403122531:8421
22Nuneaton00000:00