Sport Picks
Coalville Town vs Long Eaton
England
Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 
Match Events
80'
80'
Pennant T.
90'
90'
Tyson N.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 game between Coalville Town and Long Eaton finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Coalville Town come out ahead of Long Eaton on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Coalville Town have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Coalville Town Clean Sheet 68%
Long Eaton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coalville Town | Long Eaton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 2.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Coalville Town vs Long Eaton
1:1
Oct 24, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Long Eaton vs Coalville Town
0:6
Sep 14, 2013 FA Cup
Coalville Town vs Long Eaton
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coalville Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Pennant T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Long Eaton Compare
Top Goalscorer Tyson N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coalville Town 41 / 100
Long Eaton 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coalville Town Long Eaton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Coalville Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Long Eaton has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
Coalville Town's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Difficult form: Long Eaton registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Coalville Town VS Long Eaton
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Coalville Town
(Home) 15 Jul
Coalville Town
1 : 2 Coventry Sphinx
13 Jul
Coalville Town
0 : 3 Nuneaton
27 Apr
Coalville Town
1 : 4 Telford
20 Apr
Kettering
1 : 0 Coalville Town
16 Apr
Coalville Town
0 : 0 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Coalville Town
1 : 2 Coventry Sphinx
13 Jul
Coalville Town
0 : 3 Nuneaton
27 Apr
Coalville Town
1 : 4 Telford
16 Apr
Coalville Town
0 : 0 Stourbridge
13 Apr
Coalville Town
2 : 1 Alvechurch
Page 1 of 3
Long Eaton
(Away) 11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2 Redditch
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3 Carlton Town
30 Aug
Long Eaton
1 : 4 Kettering
26 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 3 Rushall
31 Aug
Newcastle Town
2 : 1 Long Eaton
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Newcastle Town
2 : 1 Long Eaton
03 Aug
Belper Town
4 : 1 Long Eaton
20 Apr
Sudbury
7 : 1 Long Eaton
06 Apr
Stamford
2 : 0 Long Eaton
01 Apr
Barwell
3 : 0 Long Eaton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Needham Market | 40 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 74:34 | 85 |
| 2 | Telford | 40 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 69:34 | 82 |
| 3 | Leamington | 40 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 61:32 | 71 |
| 4 | Redditch | 40 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 65:52 | 70 |
| 5 | Mickleover | 40 | 25 | 6 | 9 | 77:43 | 69 |
| 6 | Stratford | 40 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 69:57 | 69 |
| 7 | Stamford | 40 | 19 | 9 | 12 | 80:58 | 66 |
| 8 | Halesowen | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 54:50 | 62 |
| 9 | St Ives Town | 40 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 87:72 | 58 |
| 10 | Royston Town | 40 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 63:61 | 57 |
| 11 | Coalville Town | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 68:57 | 55 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 52:50 | 52 |
| 13 | Leiston | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 56:71 | 52 |
| 14 | Barwell | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 64:65 | 51 |
| 15 | Kettering | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 49:74 | 48 |
| 16 | Alvechurch | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 49:70 | 45 |
| 17 | Bromsgrove | 40 | 12 | 8 | 20 | 44:51 | 44 |
| 18 | Sudbury | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 53:62 | 40 |
| 19 | Hitchin | 40 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 46:64 | 39 |
| 20 | Long Eaton | 40 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 39:109 | 22 |
| 21 | Berkhamsted Town | 40 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 31:84 | 21 |
| 22 | Nuneaton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
