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Coalville Town vs Telford

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Gibson M.
44' Event
Pennant T.
61' Event
Pendley O.

AI Match Summary

Telford in this Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Telford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Coalville Town
33%
Draws
40%
Telford
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Telford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Telford lately — more wins on the board than Coalville Town.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Telford taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Coalville Town Clean Sheet 19%
Telford Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coalville Town Telford
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Coalville Town vs Telford
1:4
Jan 23, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Telford vs Coalville Town
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 FA Cup
Telford vs Coalville Town
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coalville Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Pennant T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Telford Compare

Top Goalscorer Styche R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gibson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coalville Town 28 / 100
Telford 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coalville Town Telford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coalville Town's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Telford let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Telford lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Telford
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Needham Market40267774:3485
2Telford402410669:3482
3Leamington401914761:3271
4Redditch402171265:5270
5Mickleover40256977:4369
6Stratford402161369:5769
7Stamford401991280:5866
8Halesowen401881454:5062
9St Ives Town401841887:7258
10Royston Town401761763:6157
11Coalville Town4015101568:5755
12Stourbridge4014101652:5052
13Leiston4014101656:7152
14Barwell4013121564:6551
15Kettering401391849:7448
16Alvechurch401291949:7045
17Bromsgrove401282044:5144
18Sudbury4010102053:6240
19Hitchin401162346:6439
20Long Eaton40572839:10922
21Berkhamsted Town403122531:8421
22Nuneaton00000:00