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Coastal Spirit vs Christchurch

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Linfield Park, Christchurch
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AI Match Summary

The National League game between Coastal Spirit and Christchurch finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Coastal Spirit
33%
Draws
40%
Christchurch
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Christchurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Christchurch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Christchurch taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%
Christchurch Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Spirit Christchurch
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Coastal Spirit vs Christchurch
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 National League
Coastal Spirit vs Christchurch
0:0
Mar 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Coastal Spirit vs Christchurch
0:0
Feb 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Christchurch vs Coastal Spirit
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Spirit 26 / 100
Christchurch 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Spirit Christchurch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Spirit found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Christchurch let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 0.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Coastal Spirit stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Spirit VS Christchurch
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Spirit

(Home)
05 Mar
Coastal Spirit
0 : 0
Christchurch
26 Feb
Coastal Spirit
1 : 5
Nomads United
06 Dec
Auckland City
3 : 0
Coastal Spirit
23 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 0
Western Springs
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 0
Coastal Spirit
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Christchurch

(Away)
05 Mar
Coastal Spirit
0 : 0
Christchurch
19 Feb
Nomads United
2 : 1
Christchurch
29 Nov
Christchurch
1 : 4
Auckland FC 2
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Christchurch
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1
Western Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)