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Coastal Spirit vs Christchurch Prediction & H2H Stats

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2025 Linfield Park, Christchurch
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AI Match Summary

The National League 2025 game between Coastal Spirit and Christchurch finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Coastal Spirit
20%
Draws
51%
Christchurch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Christchurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Christchurch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Christchurch taking it.
  • Regular National League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%
Christchurch Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Spirit Christchurch
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Coastal Spirit vs Christchurch
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 National League
Coastal Spirit vs Christchurch
0:0
Mar 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Coastal Spirit vs Christchurch
0:0
Feb 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Christchurch vs Coastal Spirit
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Spirit 26 / 100
Christchurch 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Spirit Christchurch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Christchurch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Spirit found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Christchurch let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 0.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Coastal Spirit stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Spirit VS Christchurch
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Spirit

(Home)
05 Mar
Coastal Spirit
0 : 0
Christchurch
26 Feb
Coastal Spirit
1 : 5
Nomads United
06 Dec
Auckland City
3 : 0
Coastal Spirit
23 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 0
Western Springs
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 0
Coastal Spirit
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Christchurch

(Away)
05 Mar
Coastal Spirit
0 : 0
Christchurch
19 Feb
Nomads United
2 : 1
Christchurch
29 Nov
Christchurch
1 : 4
Auckland FC 2
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Christchurch
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1
Western Suburbs
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wellington Olympic 10 7 0 3 23:14 21
2 Auckland City 10 6 2 2 19:14 20
3 Miramar 10 6 1 3 25:14 19
4 Auckland FC 2 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
5 Western Springs 10 5 1 4 16:13 16
6 Birkenhead 10 5 0 5 20:21 15
7 Christchurch 10 4 2 4 16:19 14
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 10 3 1 6 18:21 10
9 Western Suburbs 10 3 1 6 19:21 10
10 Auckland United 10 2 2 6 11:19 8
11 Coastal Spirit 10 2 1 7 5:23 7
Promotion - National League 2025 (Grand Final)