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Coastal Spirit vs Western Springs

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Tāne Norton Park, Christchurch
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Tieku D.

AI Match Summary

Coastal Spirit in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Spirit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Coastal Spirit
11%
Draws
80%
Western Springs
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Western Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Western Springs lately — more wins on the board than Coastal Spirit.
  • Western Springs are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%
Western Springs Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Spirit Western Springs
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 National League
Coastal Spirit vs Western Springs
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 National League
Western Springs vs Coastal Spirit
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Tieku D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Western Springs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Spirit 10 / 100
Western Springs 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Spirit Western Springs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WSP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Springs has conceded goals in 80% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Coastal Spirit found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Western Springs registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Spirit VS Western Springs
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Spirit

(Home)
05 Mar
Coastal Spirit
0 : 0
Christchurch
26 Feb
Coastal Spirit
1 : 5
Nomads United
06 Dec
Auckland City
3 : 0
Coastal Spirit
23 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 0
Western Springs
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 0
Coastal Spirit
Page 1 of 6

Western Springs

(Away)
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3
Auckland City
23 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 0
Western Springs
09 Nov
Western Springs
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
01 Nov
Miramar
1 : 2
Western Springs
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)