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Stadium Background

Coastal Union vs JKU

Africa Africa

CECAFA Clubs Cup 2024 Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
Coastal Union Logo

Coastal Union

0 - 2
FT
JKU Logo

JKU

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Juma N.
86' Event
Adeline N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with JKU advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Coastal Union
15%
Draws
36%
JKU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coastal Union come out ahead of JKU on wins alone.
  • Model gives Coastal Union a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Coastal Union have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor JKU, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 68%
JKU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union JKU
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2024 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Coastal Union vs JKU
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

JKU Compare

Top Goalscorer Juma N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adeline N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 50 / 100
JKU 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union JKU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: JKU conceded in 70% of 23 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: JKU has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1
Mashujaa
30 Jun
Coastal Union
2 : 1
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

JKU

(Away)
24 Aug
Pyramids
3 : 1
JKU
18 Aug
JKU
0 : 6
Pyramids
15 Jul
JKU
1 : 2
Dekedda
12 Jul
Coastal Union
0 : 2
JKU
09 Jul
Hay Al Wadi
1 : 0
JKU
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hay Al Wadi 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Coastal Union 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 JKU 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Dekedda 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
Promotion - CECAFA Clubs Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Red Arrows 3 2 0 1 2:5 6
3 Mahia 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
4 ASAS 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CECAFA Clubs Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Villa 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
3 Fountain Gate 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 EL Merriekh Bentiu 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CECAFA Clubs Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams