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Coastal Union vs Mashujaa Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
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Match Events

90' Event
Mhagama C.
Assist: Madeleke S.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Coastal Union and Mashujaa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mashujaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Coastal Union
15%
Draws
39%
Mashujaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coastal Union come out ahead of Mashujaa on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Coastal Union taking it.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 17%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Mashujaa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.27 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Mashujaa
0:1
May 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Mashujaa
1:0
Dec 1, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Coastal Union
0:0
Feb 11, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Coastal Union
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Mashujaa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Mashujaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mhagama C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 36 / 100
Mashujaa 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Mashujaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coastal Union scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Mashujaa has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Coastal Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Mashujaa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Mashujaa
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
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Mashujaa

(Away)
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)