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Coastal Union vs Namungo Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Kipenye C.
38' Event
Mashaka R.
Assist: Manyasi G.
46'
Sub
Buswita P. In: Kikoti L.
Out: Buswita P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Coastal Union
15%
Draws
26%
Namungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coastal Union lately — more wins on the board than Namungo.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Coastal Union taking it.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 68%
Namungo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Namungo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Namungo
1:1
Jan 23, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Coastal Union
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Coastal Union
0:0
Sep 17, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Namungo
0:2
Apr 17, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Coastal Union
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Mashaka R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Luzendaze G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 51 / 100
Namungo 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Namungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Namungo has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Coastal Union remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Namungo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Namungo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

Namungo

(Away)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)