Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Mkwakwani Stadium

Coastal Union

2 - 1

Pamba

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Maulid M.

Assist: Mkandala C.

46'

Sub

Rasimos A. In: Masami J.

Out: Rasimos A.

47'

Maulid M.

Assist: Kichuya S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Coastal Union in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Coastal Union

30%

Draws

34%

Pamba

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Coastal Union lately — more wins on the board than Pamba.
Coastal Union are the model's pick here, at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Coastal Union Clean Sheet 20%

Pamba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Coastal Union	Pamba
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	9
Draws	9	8
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Pamba

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Apr 11, 2026 Federation Cup

Coastal Union vs Pamba

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Feb 6, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Coastal Union

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Feb 15, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Coastal Union

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Sep 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Pamba

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Maulid M.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Nahimana S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 36 / 100

Pamba 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Coastal Union Pamba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pamba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Coastal Union stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Pamba

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9