Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coastal Union vs Pamba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Maulid M.
Assist: Mkandala C.
46'
Sub
Rasimos A. In: Masami J.
Out: Rasimos A.
47' Event
Maulid M.
Assist: Kichuya S.

AI Match Summary

Coastal Union in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Coastal Union
20%
Draws
10%
Pamba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coastal Union lately — more wins on the board than Pamba.
  • Coastal Union are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 16%
Pamba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Pamba
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Pamba
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Federation Cup
Coastal Union vs Pamba
2:0
Feb 6, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Coastal Union
3:0
Feb 15, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Coastal Union
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Pamba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Maulid M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Nahimana S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 57 / 100
Pamba 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Pamba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Coastal Union stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Pamba
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 7

Pamba

(Away)
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
14 Aug
Pamba
1 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)