Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Mkwakwani Stadium

Coastal Union

1 - 2

Simba

Our Tip

Match Events

Maulid M.

36'

Gueye L.

42'

Maulid M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Coastal Union and Simba finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Coastal Union

Draws

90%

Simba

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Simba carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Simba's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Simba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Coastal Union Clean Sheet 10%

Simba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Coastal Union	Simba
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	10	23
Draws	9	8
Losses	12	0
Goals Scored	1.25	2.63
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Federation Cup

Simba vs Coastal Union

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

May 21, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Simba

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Apr 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Simba vs Coastal Union

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Mar 1, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Simba

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Oct 4, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Simba vs Coastal Union

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Maulid M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oura A. A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 10 / 100

Simba 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Coastal Union Simba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Coastal Union found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Coastal Union remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 29% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Simba

1.25 Goals Scored 2.63

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9